Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000202 0.000226 0.000252 0.000282 0.000315 0.000351 0.000393
2024-12-22 0.000168 0.000200 0.000237 0.000282 0.000336 0.000398 0.000476
2024-12-29 0.000142 0.000180 0.000224 0.000282 0.000355 0.000445 0.000562
2025-01-05 0.000121 0.000161 0.000211 0.000279 0.000368 0.000483 0.000642
2025-01-12 0.000106 0.000147 0.000201 0.000278 0.000384 0.000527 0.000732
2025-01-19 0.000095 0.000137 0.000194 0.000280 0.000403 0.000574 0.000832
2025-01-26 0.000084 0.000125 0.000185 0.000276 0.000412 0.000610 0.000918
2025-02-02 0.000079 0.000122 0.000187 0.000289 0.000447 0.000683 0.001066
2025-02-09 0.000073 0.000117 0.000184 0.000293 0.000468 0.000740 0.001194
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000111 0.000180 0.000296 0.000488 0.000794 0.001322
2025-02-23 0.000062 0.000105 0.000175 0.000296 0.000502 0.000840 0.001440
2025-03-02 0.000056 0.000097 0.000167 0.000290 0.000506 0.000869 0.001534
2025-03-09 0.000051 0.000092 0.000162 0.000289 0.000520 0.000919 0.001670
2025-03-16 0.000047 0.000087 0.000158 0.000290 0.000536 0.000975 0.001823
2025-03-23 0.000044 0.000083 0.000154 0.000291 0.000552 0.001031 0.001983
2025-03-30 0.000040 0.000078 0.000148 0.000287 0.000559 0.001072 0.002120
2025-04-06 0.000037 0.000074 0.000144 0.000287 0.000573 0.001126 0.002286
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000071 0.000141 0.000288 0.000591 0.001190 0.002478
2025-04-20 0.000032 0.000067 0.000136 0.000284 0.000597 0.001231 0.002627
2025-04-27 0.000031 0.000067 0.000139 0.000297 0.000639 0.001348 0.002950
2025-05-04 0.000029 0.000065 0.000138 0.000302 0.000664 0.001432 0.003207
2025-05-11 0.000028 0.000063 0.000136 0.000305 0.000686 0.001512 0.003464
2025-05-18 0.000026 0.000060 0.000133 0.000305 0.000700 0.001575 0.003690